View Full Version : UPDATE TIME!!! Who's making predictions?
mor-i-bund\`mor-e-bund\ adj [L moribundus]: being in the state of dying; approaching death; this forum without the political bashing
Time to renew! Who's making predictions for the runoff?
I've got Brent; Edwards. Who else can I vote for? Go for it y'all.
Honey
08-17-2007, 10:23 PM
I hope Thomley gets Supervisor beat 4.
wilebill
08-17-2007, 10:32 PM
TDB by a landslide.
TDaleBeavers
08-18-2007, 01:51 AM
My predictions, as I see them (not necessarily how I am going to vote):
Coroner: Davis -- handily
Supervisor 2 (GOP runoff): Strahan
Supervisor District 4: Hatten -- 60% plus
Justice Court Judge 3: Brent (but will be close)
Constable 2: Amacker (handily)
Constable 3: Edwards
Honey
08-18-2007, 08:24 AM
Randy has lots of support. I just hope the turn out is good enough to show that.
politically incorrect
08-18-2007, 01:08 PM
What about the most important race here on MH? I say Klem by a comfortable margin.:)
TDaleBeavers
08-18-2007, 01:23 PM
Randy Thomley has made a good run, and it showed by his sizable second place showing. I am not disparaging him personally or his candidacy. However, his total percentage of the vote came to about 21.4 percent of the vote versus Fred Hatten's 49.2 percent. Furthermore, to my understanding, none of the non-runoff candidates have come out and endorsed Thomley's candidacy. Furthermore, I know of several people who voted for these candidates on August 7th because of friendships and other ties (church, etc), who have told me they will be voting for Fred Hatten on August 28th. With the wide margin in the first race, I do not see all or even the vast majority of the non-runoff candidates votes breaking to Mr. Thomley, which he would have to have to win.
I say Fred Hatten wins with at least 60 percent of the vote.
EricStratton
08-18-2007, 01:46 PM
Lee Jarrell Davis is taking his people to eat catfish tonight.I'm gonna have to say he's got my vote.Yummy.Catfish.
hor
(I know this is not how you spell the word, but I'm tryin' to stay out of trouble)
EricStratton
08-18-2007, 01:58 PM
I'm not going to get to go eat catfish this time.I have the boy's birthday party at the community center this evening.ALL and I mean ALL of the old people will be at the catfish house though.
Is that the Carnes Catfish Place?
EricStratton
08-18-2007, 02:03 PM
Oh yeah.
You know I've always liked Lee Jarrell Davis.
Honey
08-18-2007, 02:06 PM
You know Dale that although 49% voted for Mr. Hatten 51% voted for change.
Fish-Bait
08-18-2007, 02:27 PM
Your in the wrong county so if he's like most every other politician he doesn't care if you like him or not.Now on the other hand if you lived in his district he might pay attention.
I still don't have a clue who this Chris Bowen person is.Maybe he'll have a crawfish boil or something.
And free beer.
Can you eat catfish naked?
EricStratton
08-18-2007, 03:15 PM
Can you eat catfish naked?
Yeah....just keep a good distance from the fryer.....sometimes that grease pops and sprays up to 10 feet....
Fish-Bait
08-18-2007, 03:46 PM
Yeah....just keep a good distance from the fryer.....sometimes that grease pops and sprays up to 10 feet....
Dang, 10 ft., I prolly need to keep at least 20' between me and the fryer.:-D
:smt023:smt103
We're about to get edited (again).
Fish-Bait
08-18-2007, 04:00 PM
Thread Hijack!!!! :stop::offtopic::headbang::headbang::drummer::drum mer::beer::smt018:smt102:guitarist
Honey
08-18-2007, 04:11 PM
That's funny! All those little smiley faces are too cute.
TDaleBeavers
08-18-2007, 08:28 PM
You know Dale that although 49% voted for Mr. Hatten 51% voted for change.
Fifty one percent voted for candidates other than Mr. Hatten, but I believe a sizable number of those votes were voting for Joe Fortenberry, Wayne Lenoir, Ed Breazeale, and William Stuart rather than per se against Fred Hatten. Anytime you have six candidates, there is almost certainly going to be a run-off, and Fred's showing was exceptionally strong given this.
With some notable exceptions (the Lamar Superintendent's race), Lamar County voters are resistant to change, unless the incumbent has really messed up in office. Take it from SOMEONE WHO KNOWS! These are good times in Lamar County, and just as Mike Backstrom, Dale Lucas and Joe Bounds have already rode this tide to primary victories, and likely another term (with fewer opponents), I predict Fred Hatten will do the same August 28th.
No-Halo
08-19-2007, 07:54 PM
What about the most important race here on MH? I say Klem by a comfortable margin.:)
I sure hope you're right PI. :smt102
Word on the street is this guy Klem is as good as in.
I'm still undecided of writing myself into a Congressman slot at the last minute as an agent-of-change. What I would change is still up in the air but I figure I would just stand up every once in awhile and disagree with whatever was going on, get myself on TV in a fist fight with the other congressman so my constituents could see I was standing up for them and then invite my hot "Monica" down to the BierGarten for ribs and beer and listen to some FM muzak on the drive down in the state limo, kinda find out what Monica stands for.
Those congressmen make really decent money and besides, I could ride around waving to everyone.
I've picked up that Klem is a candidate for public office and unfortunately I can't vote for him. Do we have other candidates (or office-holders) lurking on this site to anyone's knowledge?
TDBeavers (for whom I voted) is excluded due to the obviousness. I've seen posts by Ms. Bustin but not lately. I've not seen Mr. Brent, or at least don't know what his nickname is. Anyone else?
Honey
08-19-2007, 09:15 PM
Hey Dale,
I know about as much about election stuff as I do cars. That being said I sure hope Randy wins. He's a good person and my family likes him. If my sweet mother likes him then he has to be good. Besides she has begged to get her road fixed and Mr. Hatten doesn't seem interested in her little road. She is old and has trouble digging with the shovel everytime it rains and floods her yard all the way up to the steps. So Mother is praying for her little road. And she is tired of digging out the ditch.
countrygirl
08-20-2007, 06:37 AM
Dale Coleman for Forrest Country Superintendant has made several posts.
:clap:
cheese
08-20-2007, 03:55 PM
I sure hope that Judge Bustin wins.....we need someone with education (law) and experience sitting.....it will be close and really all depends on voter turnout!
cheese
08-20-2007, 04:04 PM
Anybody at the Forrest/ Lamar Republican lunch last week? Can you tell me exactly what Mitch Brent said to Judge Bustin? . Just curious to see if anyone was there and could tell me what happened.
TDaleBeavers
08-20-2007, 06:24 PM
I have heard an account from someone whose veracity I do not at all doubt, but having not been there, I am not going to spread rumors. If someone was there that posts on here, I would invite them to tell us about it.
Kitty
08-20-2007, 07:32 PM
Anybody at the Forrest/ Lamar Republican lunch last week? Can you tell me exactly what Mitch Brent said to Judge Bustin? . Just curious to see if anyone was there and could tell me what happened.
I have heard an account from someone whose veracity I do not at all doubt, but having not been there, I am not going to spread rumors. If someone was there that posts on here, I would invite them to tell us about it.
In fairness to the candidates, I think we should tread very carefully when it comes to discussing what may have happened, in any situation, be it a political luncheon or anywhere else.
politically incorrect
08-20-2007, 07:44 PM
Yes, repeating something someone reliable told you to your face is reason to get the thread removed. :smt105
aaron
08-20-2007, 08:10 PM
Wow, a 180 degree turn around, thank you for not spreading rumor.
We are capable of learning, after all....wow....:clap:
The_Sleeper
08-22-2007, 10:32 AM
I have been reading this forum for a while and decided to sign up. Wondering where has Darth Vader and Doc gone?
aaron
08-22-2007, 10:58 AM
I have been reading this forum for a while and decided to sign up. Wondering where has Darth Vader and Doc gone?
Thanks for signing up. I have no idea where they went, but you can click this link (http://www.myhattiesburg.com/forums/private.php?do=newpm) to open the private messaging screen to ask them.
aaron
08-24-2007, 09:56 AM
All discussion about what happened last weekend has been removed at Judge Bustin's request. She is tired of her family being talked about, and I don't think that this is something that either side should jump on to try to get a leg up in this campaign. I don't know if candidates ever talk about where they stand on issues at these GOP meetings, but let's talk about that.
daisy
08-24-2007, 12:13 PM
I hear that MIKE SUMRALL running for auditor is the most qualified and was a dark horse that giddyupped on into first.
I will vote for him:bowrofl::bowrofl::clap:
Well 3 more days and it's all over but the crying. The best thing about a political race is when it's all over. Here we are just getting through with the primaries and it is really starting to get old.
One of the things I like about the area of Lamar County that I live in (District 4) is everyone (except for 2, make that 3 people) has pretty good sense. They are fairly well educated, well versed in what is really going on in their neighborhoods and county, and are very capable of making a wise decision in selection of a candidate for public office.
Two of the District 4 candidates I will be voting for have run very good "positive" campaigns. They are both incumbents. They have run on their accomplishments and stated their plans for the future. They have also refrained from "smear tactics", "mud slinging", and "out and out lies and half truths", such as their opponents are doing, (or in one case, the spokesman for the organization that is running one of the opponents). I hope that the candidates that I don't vote for will have several years to rethink if politics is really for them. The one "would be" political advisor should easily get the message!
MrPaulB007
08-25-2007, 10:39 AM
One of the things I like about the area of Lamar County that I live in (District 4) is everyone (except for 2, make that 3 people) has pretty good sense. They are fairly well educated, well versed in what is really going on in their neighborhoods and county, and are very capable of making a wise decision in selection of a candidate for public office.
Two of the District 4 candidates I will be voting for have run very good "positive" campaigns. They are both incumbents. They have run on their accomplishments and stated their plans for the future. They have also refrained from "smear tactics", "mud slinging", ...
I am glad you are at least voting. The Voter Apathy you seem to be endorsing is one of the biggest opponents in Lamar County. And our county is the best, hands down, IMO. Half the county not even caring to vote is a sign of the sick condition that the voters “voice” no longer matters. You are correct about the neighborhoods being well versed and educated about what is “really” going on with the County’s tax dollars.
Like the personal thank you note given to our district 4 supervisor from the Canebrake Homeowner’s for half the money for Canebrake’s dam repair and repaving being paid for by the county because it is a “bus route” even though there is highway access points on either side of that dam,
or the lawsuit against Big Bay being dropped by the county because York bought it,
or the money being spent to clear streams clogged by that dam break,
or the parking lot being paved in the York developments beside Target. I imagine I would vote for this to be done to my neighborhood, but it is not fair to the rest of the county, IMHO.
Being well versed and educated is why I agree with Robin Williams on these chapters of taxpayer abuses…Politicians are like diapers, they need to be changed every four years and for the same reason!
Mudslinging would be about talking about family issues, toupee issues, discussing someone’s religion, or their bank account or saying a candidate is being run by a special interest group when they are not…. It is only mud if you can’t handle the truth!
These are taxpayer dollar issues and are as clear as being documented in our county board minutes, so no mudslinging is going on. Thomley may lose because of Voter Apathy, but he wins if these issues are remembered, IMHO.
cheese
08-25-2007, 10:54 AM
Like the personal thank you note given to our district 4 supervisor from the Canebrake Homeowner’s for half the money for Canebrake’s dam repair and repaving being paid for by the county because it is a “bus route” even though there is highway access points on either side of that dam,
I really don't think you should be upset about this....Canebrake Homeowner's pay alot of money in taxes.....If it is a county road (which it is) then lamar county should pay for it.....so it will not be another Big Bay!
MrPaulB007
08-25-2007, 11:04 AM
I really don't think you should be upset about this....Canebrake Homeowner's pay alot of money in taxes.....If it is a county road (which it is) then lamar county should pay for it.....so it will not be another Big Bay!
You may be correct, but I feel that is what their homeowner's dues are for...to protect them from being sued if the dam did break. Is it fair for $1 of tax payer money from Baxtervile or Sumrall to pay for Canebrakes dam and not get to also enjoy the lake?
And for the record, Canebrake's roads were originally platted as private because of being a gated community. As such, they didn't have to be built to county specs as a county road. It was only when they were in need of being maintained and repaved that they were mysteriously changed to "County Roads."
cheese
08-25-2007, 11:27 AM
Didn't lamar county have a choice in whether to take over the roads or not? Also, it is the DEQ who is making the dam be repaired....not the homeowners. I also believe that they do have insurance in case it breaks. As for dollar for dollar, I would love to see the 3 million dollars worth of taxes paid by the homeowners stay in Canebrake. You have got to realize that their is no where in Lamar county where taxes collected are as high in a 500 acre area. Baxterville probably does not even collect 100,000 in taxes per 500 acres. With this being said, I just feel that lamar county should pay for some of the dam. I have lots in Canebrake and to be honest....I wish it was private roads.
MrPaulB007
08-25-2007, 12:03 PM
As for dollar for dollar, I would love to see the 3 million dollars worth of taxes paid by the homeowners stay in Canebrake. You have got to realize that their is no where in Lamar county where taxes collected are as high in a 500 acre area. Baxterville probably does not even collect 100,000 in taxes per 500 acres. With this being said, I just feel that lamar county should pay for some of the dam. I have lots in Canebrake and to be honest....I wish it was private roads.
Given, the county as a whole benifits from these tax dollars...but these other areas don't recieve the same "special interest attention." I understand these benifits and don't neccessarily disagree with the money allocation.
My case and point...Lake Serene residents were told be their incumbent supervisor that their lake issues "...were not his concern..."
So, how is this fair? Are we not all created equal as it states in our preamble to the constitution?
Hub a Bubba
08-25-2007, 01:22 PM
I just so happen to have first hand knowledge that the current supervisor has done EVERYTHING that the Lake Serene Property Owners Assn has asked of him and MORE. A recent meeting of Property Owners about the lakes was the results of Mr Hatten's personal involvement with the proper State agency. LSPOA board members were unsuccessful in getting any action at state level and asked the supervisor to help. He did, a state inspection of the problem was done and progress is being made on that matter.
In 1985(+or-) the county, through the help of the supervisor at that time helped the Lake Serene Propery Owners get funding to repair the back spillway at a cost of $500,000. These funds came from the USDA Soil Conservation Service. I do know that Canebrake was advised of possible funds through this same agency.
Kitty
08-25-2007, 02:14 PM
Campaign mailers arrived today from Judge Bustin and Mr. Brent, as well as a letter from Mr. Thomley.
I am sure our mail carrier will be glad when the elections are over. :smt105
TDaleBeavers
08-25-2007, 07:17 PM
Campaign mailers arrived today from Judge Bustin and Mr. Brent, as well as a letter from Mr. Thomley.
I am sure our mail carrier will be glad when the elections are over. :smt105
I have received mailouts the past two days from Judge Bustin's campaign...none from Brent or Thomley -- although I have seen some of Thomley's "targeted" mailouts (one directed at Canebrake and another at the Midway precinct).
My prediction remains that Fred Hatten will be re-elected with at least 60-65 percent of the vote in District 4. The Justice Court race is still too close for me to call.
Constable races I remain convinced that Danny Edwards will unseat Lyn Thompson in District 3 and that Paul Amacker will be re-elected, and with more ease than his two vote victory in 2003. In the coroner's race, I believe Blake Davis will ultimately prevail...probably in the range of 60-40 percent.
MrPaulB007
08-25-2007, 08:39 PM
I just so happen to have first hand knowledge that the current supervisor has done EVERYTHING that the Lake Serene Property Owners Assn has asked of him and MORE......progress is being made on that matter.
Being in Hatten’s inner circle may give you first hand "knowledge," but it doesn’t give the "Common Voters" first hand RESULTS. And what the previous supervisor did to help is not the work of our current supervisor.
The Canebrake dam subsidy, from the county tax coffers, curiously came at election time, and as for what a phone call or two he may have made for the LSPOA…curiously at election time also is too little too late, IMHO. AND with NO RESULTS other than cheap talk!
If these LSPOA problems were at your door, you would pay attention to his words that “…this is not my problem…” AND then see how many votes he could get by seeming to try to help.
Example Given; Big Bay dam breaks…executive session was called by the supervisors to file suit...York buys Big Bay…lawsuit dropped. As you said, we all know he is doing EVERYTHING he can for some, and MORE for others.
LSPOA has drainage issues…no executive session called…no suits filed…NO RESULTS…but a couple of calls were made! Seems like job performance erectile dysfunction to me. Some men talk about getting things done, others get it done and that is where my vote will be.
Since you are in the Hatten circle, please name any other developer that gets their commercial parking lots paved with county taxpayer dollars, other than York.
Or any other developer that bypasses county regulations by platting “private roads” and then getting them designated as “county roads” just in time for repaving maintenance.
Lamar Elephant
08-26-2007, 11:09 PM
Hey TDBeavers, why isn't there a poll for Forrest Supervisor race between Bowen and LJD?
Hub a Bubba
08-28-2007, 06:50 AM
[quote=MrPaulB007;321538]Being in Hatten’s inner circle may give you first hand "knowledge,"
The Canebrake dam subsidy, from the county tax coffers, curiously came at election time, and as for what a phone call or two he may have made for the LSPOA…curiously at election time also is too little too late, IMHO. AND with NO RESULTS other than cheap talk!
If these LSPOA problems were at your door, …” AND
the supervisors to file suit...York buys Big Bay…. LSPOA has drainage issues…no executive session called…no suits filed…but a couple of calls were made! Seems like job performance erectile dysfunction to me.
Since you are in the Hatten circle, please name any other developer that gets their commercial parking lots paved with county taxpayer dollars, other than York.
I can't say that I am in the Hatten inner circle, but I do live at Lake Serene and I do know what is going on about the lakes. I have knowledge about what is what because I went to the trouble and called my supervisor (which I can assume you did not) and found him to be very helpful. If you really knew what was going on or just wanted to be truthful about it, you would know that the LCBOS has voted to join forces with the LSPOA in a law suit to help solve the problem.
I do not have any knowledge about Big Bay other than what I read in the newspaper. I do think that it is great
that Dr. York is going to develop it.
Your link to canebrake and the county working together certainly does not show anything wrong. The Canebrake POA presented a problem to their supervisor, he presented the problem to the other 4 supervisors, and THE LAMAR COUNTY BOARD OF SUPERVISORS approved the action. The State AG also approved the action. Sounds like Mr Hatten was doing his job very well.
If Dr. York had paving done at his commerical venture, I would think it was done by the City of Hattiesburg "being in the City Limits".
"Be sure to VOTE today" and please vote for "Continued Progress"
Bella
08-28-2007, 06:26 PM
What's your response to Hatten dropping the lawsuit after York bought Big Bay?
Check the board minutes to find that your tax dollars paved York's parking lot that is within the Hattiesburg City Limits.
It certainly is Continued Progress for York.
Hub a Bubba
08-28-2007, 10:15 PM
What's your response to Hatten dropping the lawsuit after York bought Big Bay?
Check the board minutes to find that your tax dollars paved York's parking lot that is within the Hattiesburg City Limits.
It certainly is Continued Progress for York.
I really do not know anything about the big bay law suit. I would think that Mr Hatten by-him-self (there are still 5 members on the LCBOS) could not file a law suite or stop a law suit on behalf of LC.
I also do not know anything about Yorks property and paving. I do know that Dr. York and his developements have well defined what the Oak Grove-West Hattiesburg area has become and all these developments bring in a whole lot of tax revenue that help provide many of the services and quality of life we enjoy in Lamar County.
I also know that 52% is better than 48%.:clap:
RGDoherty
08-28-2007, 10:17 PM
I also know that 52% is better than 48%.:clap:
Is that the results, are the boxes all counted????? who won????
Bella
08-29-2007, 05:27 AM
Mr. Hub I can tell that your just like Hatten, side stepping the truth on such important issues! Its just taxpayer money and there's alot of it.
Congrats on such a close race. It was exciting. Hope we see you again in four!
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